Fuel prices to go up between 3% – 5% – IES predicts

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12 Jan 2015, Nantong, Jiangsu Province, China --- A Chinese worker holds an oil nozzle at a gas station in Nantong city, east China's Jiangsu province, 12 January 2015. China's crude oil imports rose above 7 million barrels per day for the first time in December, reaching record levels as plunging international prices allowed the world's largest importer to fill strategic and commercial reserves. International crude prices are near six-year lows, revisiting levels last seen in the wake of the global financial crisis. While price controls over transport fuels limit the boost to the Chinese economy, the drop has presented an unusual opportunity for China to increase reserves of crude oil at relatively little cost. China imported 7.15 million bpd in December, bringing its full-year crude imports to a record 308 million tonnes up nearly 10 per cent on the year. Some of that additional demand reflects economic growth --- Image by © Imaginechina/Corbis

The Institute for Energy Security, IES, is predicting a 3% – 5% increase in both petrol and diesel prices at the pumps within the first 2 weeks of December, which makes up the first pricing window of the month.

The energy think tank attributes the expected jump in fuel prices to a number of factors including optimism around the development of effective COVID-19 vaccines, a loosening of restrictions in parts of Europe as well as the hopes of an extension of the period for production cuts by OPEC-plus countries to at least the first quarter of 2021.

The above development have pushed Brent crude oil price to around $ 48 dollars, its highest level since March this year.

Fritz Moses is a research analyst with IES and he has been speaking to Citi Business news on their analysis on fuel prices for the next 2 weeks.

“Over the last 2 weeks we have seen prices of Brent crude rising on the international market as a result of the developments around the vaccine, the US elections as well as expected production cuts by OPEC+ countries.”

“On the impact at the pumps in Ghana, we hope prices per our projections do not go beyond GHS 4.80 per liter for petrol and diesel for the top three OMC’s in Ghana, that is Goil, Total and Shell,” he added.

Apply petroleum stabilization levy to ensure transport fares remain stable

The Institute for Energy Security, IES, says it doesn’t expect the 3 – 5 % increase in fuel prices it’s predicting at the pumps in the first pricing window of December, to lead to an increase in transport fares.

The energy think tank says the expected jump in fuel prices can be attributes to a number of factors including optimism around the development of effective COVID-19 vaccines, a loosening of restrictions in parts of Europe as well as the hopes of an extension of the period for production cuts by OPEC-plus countries to at least the first quarter of 2021.

Speaking to Citi Business News on the expected increase in the price of petrol and diesel Fritz Moses a research analyst with the IES said government should be ready to apply the price stabilization levy to avert any possible increase in transport fares.

CBN

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